Language:English
Karolina Muchova v Liudmila Samsonova
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 73.94%1.35fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -12.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.54%73.97%73.92%76.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3081.97%79.03%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 26.06%3.84fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.748%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%26.03%26.08%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.663.753.9530.77%27.29%26.67%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Karolina Muchova (Local): 73.94%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 26.06%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.95, producing a positive expected value of +2.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.80%E -8.03%K -44.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +2.95%E +0.748%K +1.00%G +0.030% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 12:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.348%E +0.090%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -2.00%E -0.531%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 11:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.58%E -6.06%K -30.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.58%E -6.06%K -30.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.26%E -0.602%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -3.04%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -3.82%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 12:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.36%E -4.19%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.58%E -6.06%K -30.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -3.88%E -2.99%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -6.69%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.84%E -5.43%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -9.06%E -7.37%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.77%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 12:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.32%E -6.71%K -34.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.85%EV -9.06%E -7.37%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -9.06%E -7.37%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.29%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29% | 12.7% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.76% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24% | 16.1% | 2026-10-02 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.76% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24% | 16.1% | 2026-10-02 12:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.76% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24% | 16.1% | 2026-10-02 12:56 |