Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karolina Muchova v Liudmila Samsonova

2026-10-04 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prévision 74.02%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -2.90%
Kelly -12.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.54%74.01%74.07%76.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.3081.97%79.00%78.74%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.98%3.85cote équitable
EV +2.62%
Avantage +0.663%
Kelly +0.887%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.60%25.99%25.93%27.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.653.703.9530.77%27.37%27.03%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Karolina Muchova (Local) : 74.02% ; Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur) : 25.98%. Pour Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.85. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.95, pour une espérance positive de +2.62%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.69%E -7.95%K -44.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +2.62%E +0.663%K +0.887%G +0.023%7.3%2026-10-02 12:33
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.020%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 12:35
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.617%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:10
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -3.36%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 13:30
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 13:30
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 12:34
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:00
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:55
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-02 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -3.77%E -2.90%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -6.99%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.73%E -5.34%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 12:35
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 13:29
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.21%E -6.62%K -34.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 12:38
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.21%E -6.62%K -34.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.85%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-02 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.57%E -4.79%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-02 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%12.7%2026-10-02 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%15.4%2026-10-02 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%15.4%2026-10-02 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%15.4%2026-10-02 13:20