Idioma:Español
Karolina Muchova v Liudmila Samsonova
Resultado del partido
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Predicción 74.02%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -2.90%
Kelly -12.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.54%74.01%74.07%76.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3081.97%79.00%78.74%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)
Predicción 25.98%3.85momio equitativo
EV +2.62%
Ventaja +0.663%
Kelly +0.887%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.60%25.99%25.93%27.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.653.703.9530.77%27.37%27.03%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Karolina Muchova (Local): 74.02%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 25.98%. Para Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.85. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.95, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.62%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.69%E -7.95%K -44.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +2.62%E +0.663%K +0.887%G +0.023% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 12:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.020%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.617%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 11:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -3.36%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 12:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -3.77%E -2.90%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -6.99%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.73%E -5.34%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 13:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 13:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.21%E -6.62%K -34.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 12:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.21%E -6.62%K -34.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.85%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.57%E -4.79%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29% | 12.7% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40% | 15.4% | 2026-10-02 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40% | 15.4% | 2026-10-02 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40% | 15.4% | 2026-10-02 13:20 |