Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Karolina Muchova v Liudmila Samsonova

2026-10-04 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Karolina Muchova (Casa)

Previsione 74.02%1.35quota equa
EV -3.77%
Vantaggio -2.90%
Kelly -12.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.54%74.01%74.07%76.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.271.3081.97%79.00%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.98%3.85quota equa
EV +2.62%
Vantaggio +0.663%
Kelly +0.887%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.60%25.99%25.93%27.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.653.703.9530.77%27.37%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Karolina Muchova (Casa): 74.02%; Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta): 25.98%. Per Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.85. 2 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.95, con un valore atteso positivo del +2.62%.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.69%E -7.95%K -44.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +2.62%E +0.663%K +0.887%G +0.023%7.3%2026-10-02 12:33
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.020%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 12:35
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.617%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:10
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -3.36%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 13:30
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 13:30
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 12:34
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:00
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:55
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-02 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -3.77%E -2.90%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -6.99%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.73%E -5.34%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 12:35
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 13:29
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.21%E -6.62%K -34.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 12:38
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.21%E -6.62%K -34.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.85%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-02 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.57%E -4.79%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-02 12:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%12.7%2026-10-02 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%15.4%2026-10-02 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%15.4%2026-10-02 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%15.4%2026-10-02 13:20