StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karolina Muchova v Liudmila Samsonova

2026-10-04 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karolina Muchova (Hemma)

Prognos 74.02%1.35rättvist odds
EV -3.77%
Fördel -2.90%
Kelly -12.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
72.54%74.01%74.07%76.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.221.271.271.3081.97%79.00%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Borta)

Prognos 25.98%3.85rättvist odds
EV +2.62%
Fördel +0.663%
Kelly +0.887%
Tillväxt +0.023%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.60%25.99%25.93%27.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.653.703.9530.77%27.37%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Karolina Muchova (Hemma): 74.02%; Liudmila Samsonova (Borta): 25.98%. För Liudmila Samsonova (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.85. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.95, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +2.62%.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.69%E -7.95%K -44.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +2.62%E +0.663%K +0.887%G +0.023%7.3%2026-10-02 12:33
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.020%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 12:35
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.617%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:10
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -3.36%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 13:30
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 13:30
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 12:34
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:00
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.51%E -3.50%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:55
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.99%E -4.72%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.47%E -5.98%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-02 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -3.77%E -2.90%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -6.99%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.73%E -5.34%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 12:35
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 13:29
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.25%E -4.10%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.21%E -6.62%K -34.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 12:38
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.21%E -6.62%K -34.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.85%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-02 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.95%E -7.28%K -38.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.57%E -4.79%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-02 12:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%12.7%2026-10-02 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%15.4%2026-10-02 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%15.4%2026-10-02 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%15.4%2026-10-02 13:20