A Escola das Odds

Paula Badosa v Anna Kalinskaya

Início: 2026-04-03 00:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Paula Badosa (Local)

Previsão 57.82%1.73odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.660%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.52%58.00%57.84%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.611.621.7166.67%61.97%61.73%58.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Previsão 42.18%2.37odd justa
EV +5.45%
Vantagem +2.18%
Kelly +3.63%
Crescimento +0.198%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.50%42.00%42.16%45.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.242.232.5048.78%44.61%44.94%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +5.45%E +2.18%K +3.63%G +0.198%6.7%2026-04-03 00:35
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +2.08%E +0.858%K +1.46%G +0.030%5.0%2026-04-03 00:35
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +1.23%E +0.513%K +0.880%G +0.011%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%5.7%2026-04-03 00:35
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%5.7%2026-04-03 00:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.54%E -7.54%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%7.4%2026-04-03 00:34
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:34
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -1.72%E -0.738%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:34
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 00:35
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 00:27
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 00:35
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 00:35
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -12.69%E -8.41%K -24.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 00:35
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 00:35
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.25%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 00:14
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:27
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 00:35
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.94%E -2.66%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 00:35
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:29
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 00:24
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 00:25
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:35
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:05
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:15
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:04
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 00:05
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:35
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.71%E -1.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:35
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:05
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:05
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.53%E -6.60%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-03 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-03 00:35
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-04-03 00:35