StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Paula Badosa v Anna Kalinskaya

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-03 00:40 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Paula Badosa (Heim)

Prognose 57.82%1.73faire Quote
EV -1.13%
Vorteil -0.660%
Kelly -1.59%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.71

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.52%58.00%57.84%62.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.611.621.7166.67%61.97%61.73%58.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Auswärts)

Prognose 42.18%2.37faire Quote
EV +5.45%
Vorteil +2.18%
Kelly +3.63%
Wachstum +0.198%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.50%42.00%42.16%45.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.242.232.5048.78%44.61%44.94%40.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Paula Badosa (Heim): 57.82%; Anna Kalinskaya (Auswärts): 42.18%. Für Anna Kalinskaya (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.37. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.45%.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +5.45%E +2.18%K +3.63%G +0.198%6.7%2026-04-03 00:35
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +2.08%E +0.858%K +1.46%G +0.030%5.0%2026-04-03 00:35
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +1.23%E +0.513%K +0.880%G +0.011%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%5.7%2026-04-03 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%5.7%2026-04-03 00:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.54%E -7.54%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%7.4%2026-04-03 00:34
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:34
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -1.72%E -0.738%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 00:35
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 00:27
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 00:35
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 00:35
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -12.69%E -8.41%K -24.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 00:35
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.25%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 00:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:27
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 00:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.94%E -2.66%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 00:35
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 00:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 00:25
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:30
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:35
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:15
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:35
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.71%E -1.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:05
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.53%E -6.60%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-03 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-03 00:35
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-04-03 00:35