مدرسة الاحتمالات

Paula Badosa v Anna Kalinskaya

البداية: 2026-04-03 00:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Paula Badosa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.82%1.73السعر العادل
EV -1.13%
الأفضلية -0.660%
Kelly -1.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.52%58.00%57.84%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.611.621.7166.67%61.97%61.73%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Anna Kalinskaya (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.18%2.37السعر العادل
EV +5.45%
الأفضلية +2.18%
Kelly +3.63%
النمو +0.198%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.50%42.00%42.16%45.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.242.232.5048.78%44.61%44.94%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +5.45%E +2.18%K +3.63%G +0.198%6.7%2026-04-03 00:35
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +2.08%E +0.858%K +1.46%G +0.030%5.0%2026-04-03 00:35
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +1.23%E +0.513%K +0.880%G +0.011%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%5.7%2026-04-03 00:35
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%5.7%2026-04-03 00:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.54%E -7.54%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%7.4%2026-04-03 00:34
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:34
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -1.72%E -0.738%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:34
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 00:35
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 00:27
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 00:35
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 00:35
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -12.69%E -8.41%K -24.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 00:35
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 00:35
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.25%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 00:14
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:27
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 00:35
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.94%E -2.66%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 00:35
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:29
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 00:24
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 00:25
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:35
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:05
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:15
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:04
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 00:05
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:35
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.71%E -1.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:35
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:05
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:05
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.53%E -6.60%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 00:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-03 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-03 00:35
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-04-03 00:35