L’École des cotes

Paula Badosa v Anna Kalinskaya

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 00:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Paula Badosa (Local)

Prévision 57.82%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.660%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.52%58.00%57.84%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.621.7166.67%61.97%61.73%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Kalinskaya (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.18%2.37cote équitable
EV +5.45%
Avantage +2.18%
Kelly +3.63%
Croissance +0.198%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%42.00%42.16%45.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.242.232.5048.78%44.61%44.94%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +5.45%E +2.18%K +3.63%G +0.198%6.7%2026-04-03 00:35
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +2.08%E +0.858%K +1.46%G +0.030%5.0%2026-04-03 00:35
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +1.23%E +0.513%K +0.880%G +0.011%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%5.7%2026-04-03 00:35
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%5.7%2026-04-03 00:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.54%E -7.54%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001%7.4%2026-04-03 00:34
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:34
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -1.72%E -0.738%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:34
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 00:35
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 00:27
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 00:35
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 00:35
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -12.69%E -8.41%K -24.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 00:35
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 00:35
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.25%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 00:14
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:27
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 00:35
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.94%E -2.66%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 00:35
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:29
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 00:24
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 00:25
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 00:35
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:35
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:05
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:15
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:04
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:35
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 00:05
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:35
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.71%E -1.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 00:35
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:05
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 00:05
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.53%E -6.60%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 00:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-03 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-03 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-03 00:35
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-03 00:35
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-04-03 00:35