La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Paula Badosa v Anna Kalinskaya
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Paula Badosa (Local)
Predicción 57.82%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.660%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.52%58.00%57.84%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.621.7166.67%61.97%61.73%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)
Predicción 42.18%2.37momio equitativo
EV +5.45%
Ventaja +2.18%
Kelly +3.63%
Crecimiento +0.198%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%42.00%42.16%45.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.242.232.5048.78%44.61%44.94%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +5.45%E +2.18%K +3.63%G +0.198% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +2.08%E +0.858%K +1.46%G +0.030% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +1.23%E +0.513%K +0.880%G +0.011% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.54%E -7.54%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.389%E +0.163%K +0.282%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 00:34 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -0.877%E -0.373%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 00:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -1.72%E -0.738%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.14%E -0.923%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 00:27 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -12.69%E -8.41%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| GTbets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.25%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 00:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 00:27 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -12.11%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.94%E -2.66%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.86%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 00:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 00:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 00:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 00:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 00:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.71%E -1.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 00:05 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 00:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -1.13%E -0.660%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -13.53%E -6.60%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| Novig | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 00:35 |