StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marta Kostyuk (Hemma)

Prognos 41.74%2.40rättvist odds
EV -2.76%
Fördel -1.18%
Kelly -2.07%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.10%41.73%41.70%43.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.252.252.3347.62%44.43%44.44%42.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Borta)

Prognos 58.26%1.72rättvist odds
EV -2.70%
Fördel -1.62%
Kelly -4.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.73%58.27%58.30%58.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.85%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Marta Kostyuk (Hemma): 41.74%; Iga Swiatek (Borta): 58.26%. För Iga Swiatek (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.72. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.67, med väntevärdet -2.70%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.76%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 06:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:36
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 06:16
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:41
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:39
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
DraftKings🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.26%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:01
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 04:25
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:41
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 05:41
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 05:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 06:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:41
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.51%E -2.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 04:26
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.51%E -2.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 04:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 05:40
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.77%E -3.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 03:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.77%E -3.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 04:26
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 06:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 04:26
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 05:44
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.94%E -5.03%K -13.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 04:29
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 04:26
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.36%E -5.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 04:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%4.3%2026-08-07 07:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%12.1%2026-08-07 04:26