Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-08-08 16:39 UTC

Final: Marta Kostyuk 1–2 Iga Swiatek

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Previsão 42.81%2.34odd justa
EV +1.90%
Vantagem +0.797%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%42.59%42.91%45.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.962.202.202.3851.02%45.49%45.45%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 57.19%1.75odd justa
EV -0.495%
Vantagem -0.285%
Kelly -0.669%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.59%57.41%57.09%60.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.661.671.7463.69%60.42%59.88%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 42.81%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 57.19%. Para Marta Kostyuk (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.34. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.38, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.90%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.65%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:35
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:34
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:34
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:34
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -1.10%E -0.477%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:34
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 16:39
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 16:24
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 16:15
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-08 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 07:51
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:36
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:35
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:24
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.95%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.95%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:33
ReBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 15:34
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 03:00
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 15:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 07:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 16:05
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:09
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 17:26
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 10:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:00
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:39
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:49
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:34
Betsson🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.24%E -2.85%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:34
NordicBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.24%E -2.85%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:34
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:34
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 15:08
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:49
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 16:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.495%E -0.285%K -0.669%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:39
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:10
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:39
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:39
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:39
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -11.80%E -5.73%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:39
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -16.09%E -8.21%K -16.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-08 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-08 16:35
ProphetX◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-08-08 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-08 16:35
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-08 16:35
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-08 16:25
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-08-08 16:35