StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-08 16:39 UTC

Endstand: Marta Kostyuk 1–2 Iga Swiatek

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marta Kostyuk (Heim)

Prognose 42.81%2.34faire Quote
EV +1.90%
Vorteil +0.797%
Kelly +1.37%
Wachstum +0.026%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.75%42.59%42.91%45.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.962.202.202.3851.02%45.49%45.45%42.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Auswärts)

Prognose 57.19%1.75faire Quote
EV -0.495%
Vorteil -0.285%
Kelly -0.669%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.59%57.41%57.09%60.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.661.671.7463.69%60.42%59.88%57.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Marta Kostyuk (Heim): 42.81%; Iga Swiatek (Auswärts): 57.19%. Für Marta Kostyuk (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.34. 8 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.38 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.90%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.65%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:35
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:34
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:34
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:34
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -1.10%E -0.477%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:34
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 16:39
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 16:24
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 16:15
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-08 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 07:51
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:36
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:35
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:24
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.95%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.95%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:33
ReBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 15:34
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 03:00
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 15:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 07:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 16:05
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:09
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 17:26
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 10:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:00
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 16:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:39
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:49
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:34
Betsson🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.24%E -2.85%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:34
NordicBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.24%E -2.85%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:34
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:34
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 15:08
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:49
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 16:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.495%E -0.285%K -0.669%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:39
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:10
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 16:39
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:39
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:39
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -11.80%E -5.73%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:39
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -16.09%E -8.21%K -16.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 16:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-08 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-08 16:35
ProphetX◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-08-08 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-08 16:35
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-08 16:35
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-08 16:25
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-08-08 16:35