StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marta Kostyuk (Heim)

Prognose 41.74%2.40faire Quote
EV -2.76%
Vorteil -1.18%
Kelly -2.07%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.10%41.73%41.70%43.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.252.252.3347.62%44.43%44.44%42.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.26%1.72faire Quote
EV -2.70%
Vorteil -1.62%
Kelly -4.03%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.73%58.27%58.30%58.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.85%61.73%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Marta Kostyuk (Heim): 41.74%; Iga Swiatek (Auswärts): 58.26%. Für Iga Swiatek (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.72. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.67, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.70%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.76%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 06:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:36
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 06:16
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:41
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:39
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
DraftKings🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.26%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:01
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 04:25
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:41
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 05:41
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 05:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 06:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:41
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.51%E -2.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 04:26
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.51%E -2.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 04:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 05:40
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.77%E -3.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 03:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.77%E -3.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 04:26
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 06:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 04:26
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 05:44
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.94%E -5.03%K -13.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 04:29
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 04:26
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.36%E -5.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 04:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%4.3%2026-08-07 07:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%12.1%2026-08-07 04:26