La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 41.74%2.40momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%41.73%41.70%43.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3347.62%44.43%44.44%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Predicción 58.26%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -4.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.73%58.27%58.30%58.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.85%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 41.74%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 58.26%. Para Iga Swiatek (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.72. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.67, con un valor esperado de -2.70%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.76%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 06:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:36
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 06:16
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:41
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:39
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
DraftKings🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.26%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:01
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 04:25
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:41
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 05:41
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 05:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 06:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:41
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.51%E -2.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 04:26
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.51%E -2.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 04:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 05:40
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.77%E -3.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 03:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.77%E -3.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 04:26
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 06:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 04:26
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 05:44
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.94%E -5.03%K -13.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 04:29
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 04:26
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.36%E -5.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 04:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%4.3%2026-08-07 07:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:10
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%12.1%2026-08-07 04:26