Idioma:Español
Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Predicción 42.81%2.34momio equitativo
EV +1.90%
Ventaja +0.797%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%42.59%42.91%45.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.202.202.3851.02%45.49%45.45%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 57.19%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.495%
Ventaja -0.285%
Kelly -0.669%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.59%57.41%57.09%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.671.7463.69%60.42%59.88%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 42.81%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 57.19%. Para Marta Kostyuk (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.34. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.90%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.65%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -1.10%E -0.477%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-08 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 07:51 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 16:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.95%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.95%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 11:33 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 03:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 17:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.24%E -2.85%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.24%E -2.85%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 15:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 16:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.495%E -0.285%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -11.80%E -5.73%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -16.09%E -8.21%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |