Язык:Русский
Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Marta Kostyuk (Хозяева)
Прогноз 42.81%2.34справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.90%
Преимущество +0.797%
Kelly +1.37%
Рост +0.026%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.38
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.75%42.59%42.91%45.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.962.202.202.3851.02%45.49%45.45%42.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Iga Swiatek (Гости)
Прогноз 57.19%1.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.495%
Преимущество -0.285%
Kelly -0.669%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.74
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.59%57.41%57.09%60.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.661.671.7463.69%60.42%59.88%57.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Marta Kostyuk (Хозяева): 42.81%; Iga Swiatek (Гости): 57.19%. Для исхода «Marta Kostyuk (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.34. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.38, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.90%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.65%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.90%E +0.797%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -1.10%E -0.477%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-08 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 07:51 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 16:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.95%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.95%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 11:33 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 15:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 03:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 17:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.24%E -2.85%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.24%E -2.85%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 15:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 16:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.495%E -0.285%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -10.95%E -5.26%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -1.07%E -0.617%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -11.80%E -5.73%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -16.09%E -8.21%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 16:39 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |