Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prévision 41.74%2.40cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.10%41.73%41.70%43.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.3347.62%44.43%44.44%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.26%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -4.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.73%58.27%58.30%58.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.85%61.73%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Marta Kostyuk (Local) : 41.74% ; Iga Swiatek (Visiteur) : 58.26%. Pour Iga Swiatek (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.72. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.67, pour une espérance de -2.70% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.76%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 06:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 05:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:36
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 06:16
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 06:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:41
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:39
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:40
DraftKings🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.26%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:01
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 04:25
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.03%E -3.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 04:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:41
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 05:41
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.19%E -3.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 05:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 06:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 06:41
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.51%E -2.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 04:26
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.51%E -2.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 04:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 05:40
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.77%E -3.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 03:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.77%E -3.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 04:26
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.61%E -3.46%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 06:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 04:26
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 05:44
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.94%E -5.03%K -13.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 04:29
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.52%E -5.43%K -14.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 04:26
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.36%E -5.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 04:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%4.3%2026-08-07 07:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%7.1%2026-08-07 07:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%12.1%2026-08-07 04:26