Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leylah Fernandez v Naomi Osaka

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prediction 31.49%3.18fair odd
EV -0.800%
Edge -0.254%
Kelly -0.372%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.86%31.50%31.42%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.903.1536.36%33.96%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Visit)

Prediction 68.51%1.46fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -6.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.50%68.58%70.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.32%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 31.49%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 68.51%. For Leylah Fernandez (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.15, with an expected value of -0.800%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.800%E -0.254%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 07:25
GTbets🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.12%E -0.355%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 01:20
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.37%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 07:25
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.37%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.37%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 04:20
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.37%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.88%E -6.68%K -26.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 03:35
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.37%E -0.766%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.57%E -7.25%K -29.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 07:15
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -3.00%E -0.976%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 07:32
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 07:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 07:25
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.26%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:30
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 07:25
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:30
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:20
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 04:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.51%E -5.57%K -21.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.51%E -5.57%K -21.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 04:20
Betsson🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 07:30
NordicBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 07:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.51%E -5.57%K -21.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 07:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 07:30
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:21
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:20
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:15
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:35
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:35
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:35
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 04:20
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 07:30
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.30%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 07:25
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.30%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 07:24
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.30%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 07:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.46%E -3.96%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 07:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.51%E -5.57%K -21.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 07:30
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.51%E -5.57%K -21.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 07:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.51%E -5.57%K -21.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 07:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 30.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%6.5%2026-08-08 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 37.28%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%9.9%2026-08-08 07:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 37.28%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%9.9%2026-08-08 07:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%10.3%2026-08-08 06:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 32.84%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.16%12.0%2026-08-08 07:30