StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Leylah Fernandez v Naomi Osaka

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-09 23:08 UTC

Endstand: Leylah Fernandez 0–2 Naomi Osaka

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Leylah Fernandez (Heim)

Prognose 30.14%3.32faire Quote
EV -0.536%
Vorteil -0.162%
Kelly -0.233%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.79%30.14%30.13%32.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.903.123.103.3034.48%32.01%32.26%30.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Auswärts)

Prognose 69.86%1.43faire Quote
EV -2.20%
Vorteil -1.57%
Kelly -5.49%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.76%69.86%69.87%71.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.62%73.53%71.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Leylah Fernandez (Heim): 30.14%; Naomi Osaka (Auswärts): 69.86%. Für Leylah Fernandez (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.32. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.30, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.536%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.536%E -0.162%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -1.44%E -0.441%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:49
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.20%E -1.57%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 22:45
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 22:25
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 22:30
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
SportsBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -2.34%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.48%E -6.48%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -3.25%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -3.25%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 22:25
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 22:25
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 22:30
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.85%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 22:30
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 22:25
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 21:25
ReBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 22:25
Betsson🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -6.26%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 22:24
NordicBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -6.26%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 22:25
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 04:04
Dabble (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 14:05
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:55
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:55
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:40
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.07%E -2.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 22:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.20%E -1.57%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:20
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:30
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 04:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:41
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 14:04
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 22:29
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 22:25
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-09 22:55
ProphetX◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-09 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-09 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-09 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-09 22:30
Novig◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40%1.5%2026-08-09 22:50
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-09 22:55