Язык:Русский
Leylah Fernandez v Naomi Osaka
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Leylah Fernandez (Хозяева)
Прогноз 30.14%3.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.536%
Преимущество -0.162%
Kelly -0.233%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.79%30.14%30.13%32.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.123.103.3034.48%32.01%32.26%30.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Naomi Osaka (Гости)
Прогноз 69.86%1.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.20%
Преимущество -1.57%
Kelly -5.49%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.76%69.86%69.87%71.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.62%73.53%71.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Leylah Fernandez (Хозяева): 30.14%; Naomi Osaka (Гости): 69.86%. Для исхода «Leylah Fernandez (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.32. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.30, математическое ожидание — -0.536%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.536%E -0.162%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -1.44%E -0.441%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.20%E -1.57%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -2.34%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.48%E -6.48%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -3.25%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -3.25%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.85%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -6.26%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -6.26%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 04:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.07%E -2.65%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.20%E -1.57%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 07:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 04:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 08:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |