Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Leylah Fernandez v Naomi Osaka

Inizio: 2026-08-09 23:08 UTC

Finale: Leylah Fernandez 0–2 Naomi Osaka

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Leylah Fernandez (Casa)

Previsione 30.14%3.32quota equa
EV -0.536%
Vantaggio -0.162%
Kelly -0.233%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.79%30.14%30.13%32.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.123.103.3034.48%32.01%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 69.86%1.43quota equa
EV -2.20%
Vantaggio -1.57%
Kelly -5.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.76%69.86%69.87%71.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.62%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Leylah Fernandez (Casa): 30.14%; Naomi Osaka (Trasferta): 69.86%. Per Leylah Fernandez (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.32. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.30, con un valore atteso del -0.536%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.536%E -0.162%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -1.44%E -0.441%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:49
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.20%E -1.57%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 22:45
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 22:25
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 22:30
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
SportsBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -2.34%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.48%E -6.48%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -3.25%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -3.25%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 22:25
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 22:25
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 22:30
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.85%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 22:30
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 22:25
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 21:25
ReBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 22:25
Betsson🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -6.26%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 22:24
NordicBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -6.26%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 22:25
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 04:04
Dabble (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 14:05
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:55
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:55
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:40
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.07%E -2.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 22:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.20%E -1.57%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:20
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:30
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 04:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:41
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 14:04
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 22:29
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 22:25
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-09 22:55
ProphetX◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-09 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-09 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-09 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-09 22:30
Novig◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40%1.5%2026-08-09 22:50
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-09 22:55