StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Leylah Fernandez v Naomi Osaka

Matchstart: 2026-08-09 23:08 UTC

Slutresultat: Leylah Fernandez 0–2 Naomi Osaka

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Leylah Fernandez (Hemma)

Prognos 30.14%3.32rättvist odds
EV -0.536%
Fördel -0.162%
Kelly -0.233%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.79%30.14%30.13%32.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.123.103.3034.48%32.01%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Borta)

Prognos 69.86%1.43rättvist odds
EV -2.20%
Fördel -1.57%
Kelly -5.49%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.76%69.86%69.87%71.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.62%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Leylah Fernandez (Hemma): 30.14%; Naomi Osaka (Borta): 69.86%. För Leylah Fernandez (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.32. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.30, med väntevärdet -0.536%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.536%E -0.162%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -1.44%E -0.441%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:49
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -2.20%E -1.57%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 22:45
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 22:25
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 22:30
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.04%E -0.629%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:25
SportsBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -2.34%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.48%E -6.48%K -27.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -3.25%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -3.25%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 22:25
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 22:25
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.55%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 22:30
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.85%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 22:30
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 22:25
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 21:25
ReBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.06%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 22:25
Betsson🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -6.26%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 22:24
NordicBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -6.26%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 22:25
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 04:04
Dabble (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.29%E -3.13%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 14:05
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:55
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:55
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:40
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.07%E -2.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 22:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.20%E -1.57%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:20
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:30
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.99%E -3.67%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 04:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.69%E -4.21%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 08:41
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 14:04
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 22:29
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.58%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 22:25
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.59%E -2.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 08:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-09 22:55
ProphetX◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-09 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-09 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-09 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-09 22:30
Novig◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40%1.5%2026-08-09 22:50
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-09 22:55