Language:English
Iga Swiatek v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prediction 55.17%1.81fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%55.32%55.10%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.8560.61%58.49%58.48%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 44.83%2.23fair odd
EV +0.859%
Edge +0.382%
Kelly +0.687%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%44.68%44.90%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.142.102.2550.51%46.69%47.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iga Swiatek (Local): 55.17%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 44.83%. For Iga Swiatek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +2.07%E +1.12%K +2.44%G +0.050% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -11.24%E -5.68%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.934%E -0.423%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.38%E -0.628%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 19:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 18:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 20:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 21:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 19:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV +0.411%E +0.183%K +0.331%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.486%E -0.219%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.486%E -0.219%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 21:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 20:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 13:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.52%E -2.12%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 21:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 21:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.8% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |