StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Iga Swiatek v Elena Rybakina

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-13 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Iga Swiatek 2–0 Elena Rybakina

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Iga Swiatek (Heim)

Prognose 55.17%1.81faire Quote
EV +2.07%
Vorteil +1.12%
Kelly +2.44%
Wachstum +0.050%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.70%55.32%55.10%57.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.651.711.711.8560.61%58.49%58.48%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Auswärts)

Prognose 44.83%2.23faire Quote
EV +0.859%
Vorteil +0.382%
Kelly +0.687%
Wachstum +0.006%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.60%44.68%44.90%48.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.982.142.102.2550.51%46.69%47.51%44.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Iga Swiatek (Heim): 55.17%; Elena Rybakina (Auswärts): 44.83%. Für Iga Swiatek (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.81. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.85 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.07%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +2.07%E +1.12%K +2.44%G +0.050%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -11.24%E -5.68%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 14:39
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.934%E -0.423%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.38%E -0.628%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 19:39
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 21:49
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 18:18
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 21:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 14:39
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 21:04
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 21:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 19:39
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:45
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:44
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:39
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 21:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 21:49
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 20:40
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:15
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:15
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV +0.411%E +0.183%K +0.331%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-13 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 21:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 21:40
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.486%E -0.219%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.486%E -0.219%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 21:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 20:55
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:49
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 18:19
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 18:15
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.52%E -2.12%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 21:53
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 21:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-13 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-13 21:55
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-13 21:55
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-13 21:55
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-13 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-13 21:50
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-08-13 21:55