Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-08-13 22:00 UTC

Final: Iga Swiatek 2–0 Elena Rybakina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Previsão 55.17%1.81odd justa
EV +2.07%
Vantagem +1.12%
Kelly +2.44%
Crescimento +0.050%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.70%55.32%55.10%57.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.711.711.8560.61%58.49%58.48%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 44.83%2.23odd justa
EV +0.859%
Vantagem +0.382%
Kelly +0.687%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.60%44.68%44.90%48.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.142.102.2550.51%46.69%47.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Iga Swiatek (Local): 55.17%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 44.83%. Para Iga Swiatek (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.81. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.07%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +2.07%E +1.12%K +2.44%G +0.050%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -11.24%E -5.68%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 14:39
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.934%E -0.423%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.38%E -0.628%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 19:39
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 21:49
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 18:18
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 21:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 14:39
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 21:04
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 21:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 19:39
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:45
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:44
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:39
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 21:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 21:49
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 20:40
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:15
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:15
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV +0.411%E +0.183%K +0.331%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-13 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 21:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 21:40
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.486%E -0.219%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.486%E -0.219%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 21:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 20:55
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:49
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 18:19
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 18:15
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.52%E -2.12%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 21:53
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 21:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-13 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-13 21:55
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-13 21:55
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-13 21:55
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-13 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-13 21:50
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-08-13 21:55