Idioma:Español
Iga Swiatek v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Predicción 55.17%1.81momio equitativo
EV +2.07%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +2.44%
Crecimiento +0.050%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.70%55.32%55.10%57.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.8560.61%58.49%58.48%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 44.83%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.859%
Ventaja +0.382%
Kelly +0.687%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%44.68%44.90%48.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.982.142.102.2550.51%46.69%47.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Iga Swiatek (Local): 55.17%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 44.83%. Para Iga Swiatek (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.81. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.07%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +2.07%E +1.12%K +2.44%G +0.050% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -11.24%E -5.68%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.934%E -0.423%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.38%E -0.628%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 19:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 18:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 20:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 21:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 19:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV +0.411%E +0.183%K +0.331%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.486%E -0.219%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.486%E -0.219%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 21:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 20:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 13:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.52%E -2.12%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 21:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 21:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 21:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.8% | 2026-08-13 21:55 |