Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iga Swiatek v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-13 22:00 UTC

Score final : Iga Swiatek 2–0 Elena Rybakina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Prévision 55.17%1.81cote équitable
EV +2.07%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +2.44%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.70%55.32%55.10%57.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.711.8560.61%58.49%58.48%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.83%2.23cote équitable
EV +0.859%
Avantage +0.382%
Kelly +0.687%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.60%44.68%44.90%48.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.142.102.2550.51%46.69%47.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Iga Swiatek (Local) : 55.17% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 44.83%. Pour Iga Swiatek (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.81. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.85, soit une espérance positive de +2.07%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +2.07%E +1.12%K +2.44%G +0.050%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -11.24%E -5.68%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 14:39
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.934%E -0.423%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.38%E -0.628%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 19:39
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 21:49
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 18:18
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 21:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 14:39
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 21:04
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 21:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 19:39
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:45
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:44
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:39
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 21:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 21:49
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 20:40
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:15
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:15
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV +0.411%E +0.183%K +0.331%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-13 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 21:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 21:40
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.486%E -0.219%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.486%E -0.219%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 21:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 20:55
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:49
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 21:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 18:19
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 18:15
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.52%E -2.12%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 21:53
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.859%E +0.382%K +0.687%G +0.006%4.3%2026-08-13 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.037%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-13 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-13 21:55
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-13 21:55
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-13 21:55
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-13 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-13 21:50
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-08-13 21:55