Language:English
Elina Svitolina v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prediction 82.31%1.21fair odd
EV +0.420%
Edge +0.345%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.85%82.15%82.43%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.161.2289.29%86.31%86.21%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit)
Prediction 17.69%5.65fair odd
EV +6.13%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.97%17.85%17.57%21.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.175.056.0022.73%19.33%19.80%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 82.31%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit): 17.69%. For Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.65. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.13%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.075% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV +4.18%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +0.823%E +0.144%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +0.823%E +0.144%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -0.062%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.946%E -0.169%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 10:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.946%E -0.169%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.627%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.627%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.48%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.48%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.81%E -6.97%K -65.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.14%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 10:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.14%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -9.79%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.60%EV +0.420%E +0.345%K +1.91%G +0.008% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.40%EV -10.32%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -10.50%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -10.50%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -10.67%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:02 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 08:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -15.10%E -3.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 13:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 05:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -18.63%E -4.05%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.17%E -5.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 21:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.74% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |