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Elina Svitolina v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Resultado del partido
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Predicción 77.54%1.29momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -3.11%
Kelly -16.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.45%77.40%77.70%78.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.2484.75%82.27%81.97%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante)
Predicción 22.46%4.45momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.239%
Kelly +0.307%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.15%22.60%22.30%24.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.184.254.5027.40%23.94%23.53%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Elina Svitolina (Local): 77.54%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante): 22.46%. Para Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.45. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.07%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.18%E -5.11%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.07%E +0.239%K +0.307%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 05:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.50%E -7.21%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.17%E -0.266%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV -1.85%E -0.422%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 04:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.74%E -0.634%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 04:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.74%E -0.634%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 05:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.42%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.42%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.50%E -7.21%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.42%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 06:55 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.85%E -3.11%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 06:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 03:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 05:39 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 06:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 07:30 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 04:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 04:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -4.63%E -3.76%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 05:44 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -4.63%E -3.76%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -6.34%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 02:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.79%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 05:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.18%E -5.11%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.91%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 05:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.91%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.85%E -3.11%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 07:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.85%E -3.11%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 07:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 03:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 03:00 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 07:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 06:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 06:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.77%E -4.21%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 04:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -8.50%E -7.21%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -16.89%E -4.57%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -8.50%E -7.21%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -18.02%E -4.94%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53% | 11.9% | 2026-08-03 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53% | 11.9% | 2026-08-03 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53% | 11.9% | 2026-08-03 03:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64% | 15.5% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |