Idioma:Español
Elina Svitolina v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Predicción 82.31%1.21momio equitativo
EV +0.420%
Ventaja +0.345%
Kelly +1.91%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.85%82.15%82.43%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.161.161.2289.29%86.31%86.21%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante)
Predicción 17.69%5.65momio equitativo
EV +6.13%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.97%17.85%17.57%21.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.175.056.0022.73%19.33%19.80%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elina Svitolina (Local): 82.31%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante): 17.69%. Para Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.65. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.13%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.13%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.075% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV +4.18%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +0.823%E +0.144%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +0.823%E +0.144%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -0.062%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.946%E -0.169%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 10:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.946%E -0.169%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.627%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.627%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.48%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.48%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.81%E -6.97%K -65.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.14%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 10:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.14%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -9.79%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.60%EV +0.420%E +0.345%K +1.91%G +0.008% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.40%EV -10.32%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -10.50%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -10.50%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -10.67%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:02 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 08:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -15.10%E -3.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 13:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 05:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -18.63%E -4.05%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.17%E -5.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 21:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.74% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |