Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Elina Svitolina v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Początek: 2026-08-04 15:09 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Elina Svitolina 2–1 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Elina Svitolina (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 82.31%1.21kurs godziwy
EV +0.420%
Przewaga +0.345%
Kelly +1.91%
Wzrost +0.008%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.22

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.85%82.15%82.43%84.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.161.161.2289.29%86.31%86.21%81.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Goście)

Prognoza 17.69%5.65kurs godziwy
EV +6.13%
Przewaga +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
Wzrost +0.075%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.97%17.85%17.57%21.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.405.175.056.0022.73%19.33%19.80%16.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Elina Svitolina (Gospodarze): 82.31%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Goście): 17.69%. Dla wyniku Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.65. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.13%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.13%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.075%4.4%2026-08-04 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV +4.18%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036%3.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +0.823%E +0.144%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-04 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +0.823%E +0.144%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.8%2026-08-04 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -0.062%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.946%E -0.169%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 10:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.946%E -0.169%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 14:48
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:55
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:50
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:35
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.627%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.627%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.48%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.48%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:09
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.81%E -6.97%K -65.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.14%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 10:23
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.14%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:25
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -9.79%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:55
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.60%EV +0.420%E +0.345%K +1.91%G +0.008%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.40%EV -10.32%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 08:15
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -10.50%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 10:25
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -10.50%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 10:25
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -10.67%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:05
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:05
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:02
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 08:10
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 08:19
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:35
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 10:25
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -15.10%E -3.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 05:05
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:54
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -18.63%E -4.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 14:55
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.17%E -5.04%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 21:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:00
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:00
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-08-04 14:05
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 82.74%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26%4.2%2026-08-04 14:55