Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

2026-08-05 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Previsão 77.54%1.29odd justa
EV -3.85%
Vantagem -3.11%
Kelly -16.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.45%77.40%77.70%78.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.221.221.2484.75%82.27%81.97%80.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante)

Previsão 22.46%4.45odd justa
EV +1.07%
Vantagem +0.239%
Kelly +0.307%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.15%22.60%22.30%24.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.654.184.254.5027.40%23.94%23.53%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Elina Svitolina (Local): 77.54%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante): 22.46%. Para Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.45. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.50, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.07%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.18%E -5.11%K -29.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.07%E +0.239%K +0.307%G +0.003%4.9%2026-08-03 05:44
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.50%E -7.21%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.17%E -0.266%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 05:45
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV -1.85%E -0.422%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 04:15
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.74%E -0.634%K -0.824%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 04:14
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.74%E -0.634%K -0.824%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 05:44
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.42%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 05:45
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.42%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 05:45
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.50%E -7.21%K -47.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.42%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 06:55
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.85%E -3.11%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 06:10
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 03:09
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:39
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:45
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:29
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:29
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:29
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:29
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:30
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:30
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:30
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:30
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:29
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:29
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:30
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:30
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 06:35
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.54%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 07:30
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 03:05
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 04:25
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 04:25
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -4.63%E -3.76%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -6.11%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 05:44
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -4.63%E -3.76%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -6.34%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:59
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.79%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 05:44
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.18%E -5.11%K -29.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.91%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 05:44
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.91%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 06:30
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.85%E -3.11%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 07:19
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.85%E -3.11%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 07:19
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 03:00
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 03:00
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 07:24
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 06:40
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 06:25
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.40%E -4.43%K -24.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.77%E -4.21%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 04:54
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -8.50%E -7.21%K -47.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -16.89%E -4.57%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-03 05:45
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -8.50%E -7.21%K -47.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -18.02%E -4.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 05:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%11.9%2026-08-03 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%11.9%2026-08-03 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%11.9%2026-08-03 03:00
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%12.1%2026-08-03 05:45
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 73.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%15.5%2026-08-03 07:40