Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Início: 2026-08-04 15:09 UTC

Final: Elina Svitolina 2–1 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Previsão 82.31%1.21odd justa
EV +0.420%
Vantagem +0.345%
Kelly +1.91%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.85%82.15%82.43%84.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.161.161.2289.29%86.31%86.21%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante)

Previsão 17.69%5.65odd justa
EV +6.13%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescimento +0.075%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.97%17.85%17.57%21.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.175.056.0022.73%19.33%19.80%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elina Svitolina (Local): 82.31%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante): 17.69%. Para Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.65. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.13%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.13%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.075%4.4%2026-08-04 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV +4.18%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036%3.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +0.823%E +0.144%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-04 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +0.823%E +0.144%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.8%2026-08-04 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -0.062%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.946%E -0.169%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 10:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.946%E -0.169%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 14:48
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:55
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:50
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:35
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.627%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.627%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.48%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.48%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:09
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.81%E -6.97%K -65.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.14%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 10:23
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.14%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:25
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -9.79%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:55
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.60%EV +0.420%E +0.345%K +1.91%G +0.008%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.40%EV -10.32%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 08:15
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -10.50%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 10:25
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -10.50%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 10:25
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -10.67%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:05
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:05
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:02
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 08:10
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 08:19
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:35
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 10:25
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -15.10%E -3.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 05:05
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:54
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -18.63%E -4.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 14:55
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.17%E -5.04%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 21:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:00
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:00
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-08-04 14:05
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 82.74%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26%4.2%2026-08-04 14:55