StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elina Svitolina v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 15:09 UTC

Slutresultat: Elina Svitolina 2–1 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elina Svitolina (Hemma)

Prognos 82.31%1.21rättvist odds
EV +0.420%
Fördel +0.345%
Kelly +1.91%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.85%82.15%82.43%84.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.121.161.161.2289.29%86.31%86.21%81.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Borta)

Prognos 17.69%5.65rättvist odds
EV +6.13%
Fördel +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
Tillväxt +0.075%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.97%17.85%17.57%21.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.405.175.056.0022.73%19.33%19.80%16.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Elina Svitolina (Hemma): 82.31%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Borta): 17.69%. För Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.65. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.13%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.13%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.075%4.4%2026-08-04 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV +4.18%E +0.710%K +0.855%G +0.036%3.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +0.823%E +0.144%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-04 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +0.823%E +0.144%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.8%2026-08-04 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -0.062%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.946%E -0.169%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 10:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.946%E -0.169%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 14:48
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:55
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:50
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:35
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.72%E -0.494%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.627%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.627%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.48%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.48%E -0.830%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 13:09
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.99%E -6.18%K -53.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.81%E -6.97%K -65.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.25%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.14%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 10:23
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.14%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:25
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.02%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -9.79%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:55
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.60%EV +0.420%E +0.345%K +1.91%G +0.008%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.40%EV -10.32%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 08:15
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -10.50%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 10:25
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -10.50%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 10:25
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -10.67%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:05
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:05
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:02
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 05:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 08:10
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.70%E -3.16%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 08:19
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:35
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 10:25
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.16%E -5.41%K -44.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.56%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -15.10%E -3.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 05:05
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.34%E -4.64%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.98%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:54
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.52%E -3.90%K -28.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -18.63%E -4.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 14:55
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.87%E -2.43%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.17%E -5.04%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 21:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:00
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-04 14:00
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-08-04 14:05
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 82.74%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26%4.2%2026-08-04 14:55