Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aryna Sabalenka v Moyuka Uchijima

2026-08-05 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prediction 90.11%1.11fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -51.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.02%89.90%90.18%91.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.051.051.0797.09%95.03%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Moyuka Uchijima (Visit)

Prediction 9.89%10.11fair odd
EV +18.72%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.319%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.05%10.10%9.82%13.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.409.389.5012.0015.63%10.66%10.53%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 90.11%; Moyuka Uchijima (Visit): 9.89%. For Moyuka Uchijima (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.11. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.00, producing a positive expected value of +18.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +18.72%E +1.56%K +1.70%G +0.319%3.6%2026-08-03 05:49
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 91.76%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +16.74%E +1.42%K +1.55%G +0.260%2.8%2026-08-03 05:50
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.83%E +0.803%K +0.883%G +0.078%4.3%2026-08-03 05:50
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.29%E -6.05%K -157.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +8.83%E +0.803%K +0.883%G +0.078%5.2%2026-08-03 04:34
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.29%E -6.05%K -157.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +8.83%E +0.803%K +0.883%G +0.078%5.2%2026-08-03 05:30
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.29%E -6.05%K -157.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +8.83%E +0.803%K +0.883%G +0.078%5.2%2026-08-03 05:30
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -0.075%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 04:35
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.06%E -0.106%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 06:55
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.06%E -0.106%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 06:54
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -3.04%E -0.311%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:50
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -3.04%E -0.311%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:49
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -3.04%E -0.311%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:55
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 89.90%EV -3.59%E -3.35%K -51.23%G +0.000%9.52I 10.50%NM 10.10%EV -5.81%E -0.611%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 05:45
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Grosvenor1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.49%E -4.23%K -74.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.01%E -0.633%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 04:59
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -8.48%E -0.917%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 06:49
betfred_uk1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.96%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 06:53
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.96%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 05:49
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.96%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 06:20
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.19%E -6.98%K -239.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -10.96%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 05:49
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.19%E -6.98%K -239.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -10.96%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 06:34
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.19%E -6.98%K -239.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -10.96%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 06:49
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.90%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 04:44
Dabble (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.59%E -3.35%K -51.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -20.85%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 05:54
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.59%E -3.35%K -51.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -20.85%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 05:59
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -20.85%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 06:20
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.39%E -5.13%K -107.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -20.85%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 06:40
ReBet1.04I 96.15%NM 87.38%EV -6.29%E -6.05%K -157.23%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -28.77%E -4.00%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 05:49
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 86.76%EV -7.19%E -6.98%K -239.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -33.22%E -4.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 05:50
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 86.02%EV -6.29%E -6.05%K -157.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.98%EV -36.68%E -5.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-03 06:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 85.64%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.36%12.3%2026-08-03 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 52.09%1.12I 89.29%NM 47.91%86.4%2026-08-03 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 52.09%1.12I 89.29%NM 47.91%86.4%2026-08-03 06:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 52.09%1.12I 89.29%NM 47.91%86.4%2026-08-03 06:20