StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Moyuka Uchijima

2026-08-05 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 89.96%1.11faire Quote
EV -3.74%
Vorteil -3.50%
Kelly -53.49%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
85.83%89.71%90.05%91.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.031.051.061.0797.09%94.87%94.34%93.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Moyuka Uchijima (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.04%9.96faire Quote
EV +10.45%
Vorteil +0.950%
Kelly +1.05%
Wachstum +0.109%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.64%10.29%9.95%14.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.309.259.5011.0015.87%10.81%10.53%9.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 89.96%; Moyuka Uchijima (Auswärts): 10.04%. Für Moyuka Uchijima (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.96. 8 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 11.00 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +10.45%.

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109%4.3%2026-08-03 08:00
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109%5.2%2026-08-03 04:34
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109%5.2%2026-08-03 05:30
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109%5.2%2026-08-03 05:30
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.91%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV +6.44%E +0.607%K +0.670%G +0.043%3.8%2026-08-03 07:09
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +1.42%E +0.140%K +0.156%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-03 04:35
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.412%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 07:10
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.412%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:10
Fanatics1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -1.60%E -0.163%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 07:14
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -1.60%E -0.163%K -0.181%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:50
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 89.90%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000%9.52I 10.50%NM 10.10%EV -4.41%E -0.463%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 05:45
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Grosvenor1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 07:30
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:20
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 04:59
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:20
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -7.12%E -0.770%K -0.863%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 06:49
Winamax (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 07:09
betfred_uk1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 06:53
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.34%E -7.13%K -244.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 06:34
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.34%E -7.13%K -244.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 06:49
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:10
Dabble (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:24
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 07:10
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 05:59
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 06:20
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 07:09
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV -21.68%E -2.78%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 07:09
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -29.71%E -4.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 07:09
Winamax (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 86.21%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -34.73%E -5.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 07:10
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 85.83%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -36.74%E -5.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-03 07:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 85.64%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.36%12.3%2026-08-03 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 51.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 48.15%85.4%2026-08-03 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 51.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 48.15%85.4%2026-08-03 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 51.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 48.15%85.4%2026-08-03 07:55
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 51.63%1.11I 90.09%NM 48.37%86.2%2026-08-03 07:55