StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Moyuka Uchijima

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-04 23:08 UTC

Endstand: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Moyuka Uchijima

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 91.77%1.09faire Quote
EV -1.81%
Vorteil -1.69%
Kelly -25.82%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
89.01%91.81%91.71%93.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.50%96.15%93.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Moyuka Uchijima (Auswärts)

Prognose 8.23%12.15faire Quote
EV +30.05%
Vorteil +1.90%
Kelly +2.03%
Wachstum +0.610%

bei einer Höchstquote von 15.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.18%8.19%8.29%10.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.5011.5411.0015.8011.76%8.67%9.09%6.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 91.77%; Moyuka Uchijima (Auswärts): 8.23%. Für Moyuka Uchijima (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 12.15. 15 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 15.80 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +30.05%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.82%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%15.80I 6.33%NM 6.18%EV +30.05%E +1.90%K +2.03%G +0.610%2.5%2026-08-04 22:14
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393%3.8%2026-08-04 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393%3.8%2026-08-04 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393%3.8%2026-08-04 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393%3.8%2026-08-03 15:04
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393%3.8%2026-08-03 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.39%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%14.69I 6.81%NM 6.61%EV +20.91%E +1.42%K +1.53%G +0.319%3.0%2026-08-04 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.30%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.70%EV +16.88%E +1.19%K +1.28%G +0.216%5.1%2026-08-04 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +15.23%E +1.09%K +1.17%G +0.178%4.2%2026-08-04 22:25
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.76%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.24%EV +8.65%E +0.655%K +0.709%G +0.061%4.7%2026-08-04 22:55
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041%2.9%2026-08-04 22:24
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041%2.9%2026-08-04 22:35
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041%6.7%2026-08-03 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041%6.7%2026-08-03 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.89%E +0.231%K +0.251%G +0.007%5.1%2026-08-04 10:59
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 22:55
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -3.29%E -0.280%K -0.306%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.78%E -0.323%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.78%E -0.323%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.34%E -0.465%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:19
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 91.39%EV -1.81%E -1.69%K -25.82%G +0.000%11.36I 8.80%NM 8.61%EV -6.50%E -0.572%K -0.627%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -7.40%E -0.658%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:55
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 19:14
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:49
betfred_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 20:10
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 02:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 14:09
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -16.04%E -1.57%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.72%E -2.57%K -45.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 11:24
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.92%E -2.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:25
TAB🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 15:24
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 15:23
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 93.96%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.04%0.4%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 93.45%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.55%1.9%2026-08-04 22:55
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%2.2%2026-08-04 22:05