Idioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Moyuka Uchijima
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 91.77%1.09momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -25.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
89.01%91.81%91.71%93.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.50%96.15%93.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Moyuka Uchijima (Visitante)
Predicción 8.23%12.15momio equitativo
EV +30.05%
Ventaja +1.90%
Kelly +2.03%
Crecimiento +0.610%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.18%8.19%8.29%10.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.5011.5411.0015.8011.76%8.67%9.09%6.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 91.77%; Moyuka Uchijima (Visitante): 8.23%. Para Moyuka Uchijima (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 12.15. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 15.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +30.05%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.82%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 15.80I 6.33%NM 6.18%EV +30.05%E +1.90%K +2.03%G +0.610% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.39%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 14.69I 6.81%NM 6.61%EV +20.91%E +1.42%K +1.53%G +0.319% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.30%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.70%EV +16.88%E +1.19%K +1.28%G +0.216% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +15.23%E +1.09%K +1.17%G +0.178% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.76%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.24%EV +8.65%E +0.655%K +0.709%G +0.061% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.89%E +0.231%K +0.251%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -3.29%E -0.280%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.78%E -0.323%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.78%E -0.323%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.34%E -0.465%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.39%EV -1.81%E -1.69%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 11.36I 8.80%NM 8.61%EV -6.50%E -0.572%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 12:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -7.40%E -0.658%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 02:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 14:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -16.04%E -1.57%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.72%E -2.57%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.92%E -2.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 15:23 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.96% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.04% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.45% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.55% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |