Idioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Moyuka Uchijima
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 89.96%1.11momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -3.50%
Kelly -53.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.83%89.71%90.05%91.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.031.051.061.0797.09%94.87%94.34%93.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Moyuka Uchijima (Visitante)
Predicción 10.04%9.96momio equitativo
EV +10.45%
Ventaja +0.950%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.109%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.64%10.29%9.95%14.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.309.259.5011.0015.87%10.81%10.53%9.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 89.96%; Moyuka Uchijima (Visitante): 10.04%. Para Moyuka Uchijima (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 9.96. 8 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 11.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +10.45%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 08:00 |
| 888sport | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 04:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 05:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 05:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.91%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV +6.44%E +0.607%K +0.670%G +0.043% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 07:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +1.42%E +0.140%K +0.156%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.412%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 07:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.412%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 07:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -1.60%E -0.163%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 07:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -1.60%E -0.163%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 06:50 |
| GTbets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.90%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.10%EV -4.41%E -0.463%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Casumo | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| Unibet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:50 |
| betPARX | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 07:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 07:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 04:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 07:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -7.12%E -0.770%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 07:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 06:53 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.34%E -7.13%K -244.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 06:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.34%E -7.13%K -244.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| Betway | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 07:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 07:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 07:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 05:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 06:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 07:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV -21.68%E -2.78%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 07:09 |
| ReBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -29.71%E -4.24%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 07:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.21%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -34.73%E -5.34%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-03 07:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.83%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -36.74%E -5.83%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-03 07:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.64% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.36% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 51.85% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 48.15% | 85.4% | 2026-08-03 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 51.85% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 48.15% | 85.4% | 2026-08-03 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 51.85% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 48.15% | 85.4% | 2026-08-03 07:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.04I 96.15%NM 51.63% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 48.37% | 86.2% | 2026-08-03 07:55 |