Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka v Moyuka Uchijima

2026-08-05 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 89.96%1.11cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -3.50%
Kelly -53.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.83%89.71%90.05%91.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.031.051.061.0797.09%94.87%94.34%93.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Moyuka Uchijima (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.04%9.96cote équitable
EV +10.45%
Avantage +0.950%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.109%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.64%10.29%9.95%14.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.309.259.5011.0015.87%10.81%10.53%9.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 89.96% ; Moyuka Uchijima (Visiteur) : 10.04%. Pour Moyuka Uchijima (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 9.96. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 11.00, pour une espérance positive de +10.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109%4.3%2026-08-03 08:00
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109%5.2%2026-08-03 04:34
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109%5.2%2026-08-03 05:30
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.05%G +0.109%5.2%2026-08-03 05:30
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.91%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV +6.44%E +0.607%K +0.670%G +0.043%3.8%2026-08-03 07:09
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +1.42%E +0.140%K +0.156%G +0.002%4.2%2026-08-03 04:35
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.412%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 07:10
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.412%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:10
Fanatics1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -1.60%E -0.163%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 07:14
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -1.60%E -0.163%K -0.181%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:50
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 89.90%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000%9.52I 10.50%NM 10.10%EV -4.41%E -0.463%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 05:45
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Grosvenor1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:50
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 07:30
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:20
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 04:59
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.61%E -0.485%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:20
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -7.12%E -0.770%K -0.863%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 06:49
Winamax (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.64%E -4.38%K -77.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 07:09
betfred_uk1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 06:53
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.34%E -7.13%K -244.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 06:34
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.34%E -7.13%K -244.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 06:49
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:10
Dabble (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:24
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 07:10
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.74%E -3.50%K -53.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 05:59
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 06:20
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.67%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 07:09
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV -21.68%E -2.78%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 07:09
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -29.71%E -4.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 07:09
Winamax (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 86.21%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -34.73%E -5.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 07:10
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 85.83%EV -6.44%E -6.20%K -161.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -36.74%E -5.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-03 07:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 85.64%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.36%12.3%2026-08-03 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 51.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 48.15%85.4%2026-08-03 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 51.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 48.15%85.4%2026-08-03 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 51.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 48.15%85.4%2026-08-03 07:55
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 51.63%1.11I 90.09%NM 48.37%86.2%2026-08-03 07:55