Langue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Moyuka Uchijima
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 91.77%1.09cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -25.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.01%91.81%91.71%93.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.50%96.15%93.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Moyuka Uchijima (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.23%12.15cote équitable
EV +30.05%
Avantage +1.90%
Kelly +2.03%
Croissance +0.610%
avec la cote maximale 15.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.18%8.19%8.29%10.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5011.5411.0015.8011.76%8.67%9.09%6.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 91.77% ; Moyuka Uchijima (Visiteur) : 8.23%. Pour Moyuka Uchijima (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.15. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 15.80, soit une espérance positive de +30.05%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.82%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 15.80I 6.33%NM 6.18%EV +30.05%E +1.90%K +2.03%G +0.610% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.39%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 14.69I 6.81%NM 6.61%EV +20.91%E +1.42%K +1.53%G +0.319% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.30%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.70%EV +16.88%E +1.19%K +1.28%G +0.216% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +15.23%E +1.09%K +1.17%G +0.178% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.76%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.24%EV +8.65%E +0.655%K +0.709%G +0.061% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.89%E +0.231%K +0.251%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -3.29%E -0.280%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.78%E -0.323%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.78%E -0.323%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.34%E -0.465%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.39%EV -1.81%E -1.69%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 11.36I 8.80%NM 8.61%EV -6.50%E -0.572%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 12:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -7.40%E -0.658%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 02:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 14:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -16.04%E -1.57%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.72%E -2.57%K -45.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.92%E -2.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 15:23 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.96% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.04% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.45% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.55% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |