Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka v Moyuka Uchijima

Inizio: 2026-08-04 23:08 UTC

Finale: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Moyuka Uchijima

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 91.77%1.09quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -1.69%
Kelly -25.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.01%91.81%91.71%93.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.50%96.15%93.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Moyuka Uchijima (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.23%12.15quota equa
EV +30.05%
Vantaggio +1.90%
Kelly +2.03%
Crescita +0.610%

ipotizzando la quota massima 15.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.18%8.19%8.29%10.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.5011.5411.0015.8011.76%8.67%9.09%6.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aryna Sabalenka (Casa): 91.77%; Moyuka Uchijima (Trasferta): 8.23%. Per Moyuka Uchijima (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 12.15. 15 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 15.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +30.05%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.82%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%15.80I 6.33%NM 6.18%EV +30.05%E +1.90%K +2.03%G +0.610%2.5%2026-08-04 22:14
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393%3.8%2026-08-04 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393%3.8%2026-08-04 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393%3.8%2026-08-04 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393%3.8%2026-08-03 15:04
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +23.46%E +1.56%K +1.68%G +0.393%3.8%2026-08-03 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.39%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%14.69I 6.81%NM 6.61%EV +20.91%E +1.42%K +1.53%G +0.319%3.0%2026-08-04 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.30%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.70%EV +16.88%E +1.19%K +1.28%G +0.216%5.1%2026-08-04 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +15.23%E +1.09%K +1.17%G +0.178%4.2%2026-08-04 22:25
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.76%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.24%EV +8.65%E +0.655%K +0.709%G +0.061%4.7%2026-08-04 22:55
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041%2.9%2026-08-04 22:24
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041%2.9%2026-08-04 22:35
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041%6.7%2026-08-03 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.00%E +0.539%K +0.583%G +0.041%6.7%2026-08-03 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +2.89%E +0.231%K +0.251%G +0.007%5.1%2026-08-04 10:59
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 22:55
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.23%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -3.29%E -0.280%K -0.306%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.78%E -0.323%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -3.78%E -0.323%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -5.34%E -0.465%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:19
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 91.39%EV -1.81%E -1.69%K -25.82%G +0.000%11.36I 8.80%NM 8.61%EV -6.50%E -0.572%K -0.627%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -7.40%E -0.658%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:55
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 19:14
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:49
betfred_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 20:10
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 02:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.31%E -7.24%K -731.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -9.46%E -0.860%K -0.946%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 14:09
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -13.58%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:19
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -16.04%E -1.57%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.72%E -2.57%K -45.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 11:24
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.40%E -6.27%K -319.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -17.69%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.92%E -2.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:25
TAB🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.64%E -3.47%K -72.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 15:24
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -114.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -30.04%E -3.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 15:23
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 93.96%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.04%0.4%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 93.45%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.55%1.9%2026-08-04 22:55
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%2.2%2026-08-04 22:05