Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Kalinskaya v McCartney Kessler

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 22:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Prediction 60.39%1.66fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.26%60.43%62.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.6267.57%64.00%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

McCartney Kessler (Visit)

Prediction 39.61%2.52fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.548%
Kelly +0.899%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.86%39.74%39.57%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.5644.44%42.09%42.02%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 60.39%; McCartney Kessler (Visit): 39.61%. For McCartney Kessler (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.40%E +0.548%K +0.899%G +0.013%3.2%2026-08-04 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.40%E +0.548%K +0.899%G +0.013%3.2%2026-08-04 22:00
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.01%E +0.395%K +0.649%G +0.007%3.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV +0.610%E +0.240%K +0.396%G +0.002%3.1%2026-08-04 21:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.974%E -0.390%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 08:39
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.35%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:50
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.75%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:05
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 01:59
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:35
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.98%E -2.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:46
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:54
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:40
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:00
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 05:25
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 02:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 21:55
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.33%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 02:00
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 21:39
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:44
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:59
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:59
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:00
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:44
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:45
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:25
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:50
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:44
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:00
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:59
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -8.50%E -3.68%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:00
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:59
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:00
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 16:24
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 21:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.81%E -5.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 21:59
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.81%E -5.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 22:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:59
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.62%E -7.18%K -22.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-04 21:50
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-04 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-08-04 22:00