Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anna Kalinskaya v McCartney Kessler

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 22:01 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Prévision 60.39%1.66cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -3.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%60.26%60.43%62.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.561.561.6267.57%64.00%64.10%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

McCartney Kessler (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.61%2.52cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.548%
Kelly +0.899%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.86%39.74%39.57%41.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.382.382.5644.44%42.09%42.02%39.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Anna Kalinskaya (Local) : 60.39% ; McCartney Kessler (Visiteur) : 39.61%. Pour McCartney Kessler (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.52. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.56, soit une espérance positive de +1.40%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.40%E +0.548%K +0.899%G +0.013%3.2%2026-08-04 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.40%E +0.548%K +0.899%G +0.013%3.2%2026-08-04 22:00
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.01%E +0.395%K +0.649%G +0.007%3.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV +0.610%E +0.240%K +0.396%G +0.002%3.1%2026-08-04 21:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.974%E -0.390%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 08:39
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.35%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:50
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.75%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:05
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 01:59
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:35
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.98%E -2.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:46
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:54
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:40
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:00
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 05:25
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 02:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 21:55
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.33%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 02:00
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 21:39
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:44
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:59
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:59
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:00
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:44
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:45
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:25
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:50
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:44
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:00
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:59
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -8.50%E -3.68%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:00
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:59
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:00
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 16:24
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 21:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.81%E -5.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 21:59
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.81%E -5.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 22:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:59
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.62%E -7.18%K -22.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-04 21:50
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-04 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-08-04 22:00