Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Anna Kalinskaya v McCartney Kessler

Początek: 2026-08-04 22:01 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Anna Kalinskaya (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.39%1.66kurs godziwy
EV -2.17%
Przewaga -1.34%
Kelly -3.50%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%60.26%60.43%62.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.481.561.561.6267.57%64.00%64.10%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

McCartney Kessler (Goście)

Prognoza 39.61%2.52kurs godziwy
EV +1.40%
Przewaga +0.548%
Kelly +0.899%
Wzrost +0.013%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.86%39.74%39.57%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.382.382.5644.44%42.09%42.02%39.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Anna Kalinskaya (Gospodarze): 60.39%; McCartney Kessler (Goście): 39.61%. Dla wyniku McCartney Kessler (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.52. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.56, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.40%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.40%E +0.548%K +0.899%G +0.013%3.2%2026-08-04 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.40%E +0.548%K +0.899%G +0.013%3.2%2026-08-04 22:00
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.01%E +0.395%K +0.649%G +0.007%3.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV +0.610%E +0.240%K +0.396%G +0.002%3.1%2026-08-04 21:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.974%E -0.390%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 08:39
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.35%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:50
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.75%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:05
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 01:59
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:35
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.98%E -2.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:46
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:54
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:40
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:00
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 05:25
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 02:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 21:55
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.33%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 02:00
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 21:39
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:44
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:59
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:59
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:00
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:44
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:45
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:25
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:50
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:44
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:00
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:59
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -8.50%E -3.68%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:00
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:59
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:00
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 16:24
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 21:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.81%E -5.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 21:59
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.81%E -5.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 22:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:59
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.62%E -7.18%K -22.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-04 21:50
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-04 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-08-04 22:00