النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Anna Kalinskaya v McCartney Kessler

البداية: 2026-08-04 22:01 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Anna Kalinskaya (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.39%1.66السعر العادل
EV -2.17%
الأفضلية -1.34%
Kelly -3.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.14%60.26%60.43%62.14%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.561.561.6267.57%64.00%64.10%61.73%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

McCartney Kessler (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.61%2.52السعر العادل
EV +1.40%
الأفضلية +0.548%
Kelly +0.899%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.86%39.74%39.57%41.86%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.382.382.5644.44%42.09%42.02%39.06%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Anna Kalinskaya (المضيف)⁩: ⁨60.39%⁩؛ ⁨McCartney Kessler (الضيف)⁩: ⁨39.61%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨McCartney Kessler (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.52⁩. عرضت 4 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.56⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.40%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.40%E +0.548%K +0.899%G +0.013%3.2%2026-08-04 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.40%E +0.548%K +0.899%G +0.013%3.2%2026-08-04 22:00
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.01%E +0.395%K +0.649%G +0.007%3.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV +0.610%E +0.240%K +0.396%G +0.002%3.1%2026-08-04 21:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.974%E -0.390%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 08:39
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.35%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:50
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.75%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:05
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 01:59
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:35
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.98%E -2.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:46
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:54
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:40
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:00
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 05:25
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 02:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 21:55
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.33%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 02:00
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 21:39
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:44
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:59
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:59
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:00
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:44
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:45
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:25
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:50
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:44
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:00
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:59
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -8.50%E -3.68%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:00
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:59
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:00
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 16:24
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 21:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.81%E -5.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 21:59
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.81%E -5.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 22:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:59
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.62%E -7.18%K -22.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 22:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-04 21:50
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-04 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-08-04 22:00
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-08-04 22:00