Idioma:Español
Anna Kalinskaya v McCartney Kessler
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anna Kalinskaya (Local)
Predicción 60.39%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -3.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.26%60.43%62.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.561.561.6267.57%64.00%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
McCartney Kessler (Visitante)
Predicción 39.61%2.52momio equitativo
EV +1.40%
Ventaja +0.548%
Kelly +0.899%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.86%39.74%39.57%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.382.5644.44%42.09%42.02%39.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 60.39%; McCartney Kessler (Visitante): 39.61%. Para McCartney Kessler (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.52. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.56, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.40%E +0.548%K +0.899%G +0.013% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.40%E +0.548%K +0.899%G +0.013% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.01%E +0.395%K +0.649%G +0.007% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV +0.610%E +0.240%K +0.396%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.974%E -0.390%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 08:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.35%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.75%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 01:59 |
| ReBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.98%E -2.50%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 21:46 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 10:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 08:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 05:25 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.33%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 21:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 05:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.12%E -2.58%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.00%E -4.55%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -8.50%E -3.68%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.81%E -5.84%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.81%E -5.84%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.17%E -1.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.62%E -7.18%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Novig | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |