Language:English
Venus Williams v Irina-Camelia Begu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Venus Williams (Local)
Prediction 24.59%4.07fair odd
EV +10.66%
Edge +2.37%
Kelly +3.04%
Growth +0.324%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%24.39%24.90%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.863.854.5028.57%25.89%25.97%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Irina-Camelia Begu (Visit)
Prediction 75.41%1.33fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -12.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.77%75.61%75.10%78.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.261.2883.33%79.86%79.37%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Venus Williams (Local): 24.59%; Irina-Camelia Begu (Visit): 75.41%. For Venus Williams (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.66%E +2.37%K +3.04%G +0.324% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.75%E -7.23%K -41.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +10.66%E +2.37%K +3.04%G +0.324% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +4.51%E +1.06%K +1.39%G +0.063% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +4.51%E +1.06%K +1.39%G +0.063% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.820%E +0.200%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.820%E +0.200%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV +0.329%E +0.081%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 14:38 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-22 14:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.87%E -0.726%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.87%E -0.726%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.75%E -7.23%K -41.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 14:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 14:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -13.93%E -3.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-22 14:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94% | 4.0% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |