La scuola delle quote

Venus Williams v Irina-Camelia Begu

Inizio: 2026-06-22 14:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Venus Williams (Casa)

Previsione 24.59%4.07quota equa
EV +10.66%
Vantaggio +2.37%
Kelly +3.04%
Crescita +0.324%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.05%24.39%24.90%26.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.863.854.5028.57%25.89%25.97%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Irina-Camelia Begu (Trasferta)

Previsione 75.41%1.33quota equa
EV -3.48%
Vantaggio -2.72%
Kelly -12.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.77%75.61%75.10%78.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.251.261.2883.33%79.86%79.37%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.66%E +2.37%K +3.04%G +0.324%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.75%E -7.23%K -41.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 14:40
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +10.66%E +2.37%K +3.04%G +0.324%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 14:40
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +4.51%E +1.06%K +1.39%G +0.063%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 14:40
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +4.51%E +1.06%K +1.39%G +0.063%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 14:39
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.820%E +0.200%K +0.265%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 14:39
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.820%E +0.200%K +0.265%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 14:39
Pinnacle4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV +0.329%E +0.081%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 14:40
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:38
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 14:38
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.87%E -0.726%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 14:40
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.87%E -0.726%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.75%E -7.23%K -41.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 14:38
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 14:40
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:40
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 14:39
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:39
DraftKings3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 14:39
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 14:39
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 14:35
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 14:39
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 14:39
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 14:39
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-22 14:40
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 14:39
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 14:39
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:39
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 14:39
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:39
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:40
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -13.93%E -3.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-22 14:36
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94%4.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%4.9%2026-06-22 14:40