L’École des cotes

Venus Williams v Irina-Camelia Begu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-22 14:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Venus Williams (Local)

Prévision 24.59%4.07cote équitable
EV +10.66%
Avantage +2.37%
Kelly +3.04%
Croissance +0.324%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.05%24.39%24.90%26.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.863.854.5028.57%25.89%25.97%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Irina-Camelia Begu (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.41%1.33cote équitable
EV -3.48%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -12.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.77%75.61%75.10%78.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.261.2883.33%79.86%79.37%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.66%E +2.37%K +3.04%G +0.324%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.75%E -7.23%K -41.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 14:40
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +10.66%E +2.37%K +3.04%G +0.324%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 14:40
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +4.51%E +1.06%K +1.39%G +0.063%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 14:40
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +4.51%E +1.06%K +1.39%G +0.063%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 14:39
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.820%E +0.200%K +0.265%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 14:39
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.820%E +0.200%K +0.265%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 14:39
Pinnacle4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV +0.329%E +0.081%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 14:40
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:38
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 14:38
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.87%E -0.726%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 14:40
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.87%E -0.726%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.75%E -7.23%K -41.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 14:38
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 14:40
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:40
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 14:39
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:39
DraftKings3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 14:39
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 14:39
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 14:35
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 14:39
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 14:39
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 14:39
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-22 14:40
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 14:39
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 14:39
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:39
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 14:39
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:39
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:40
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -13.93%E -3.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-22 14:36
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94%4.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%4.9%2026-06-22 14:40