La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Venus Williams v Irina-Camelia Begu
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Venus Williams (Local)
Predicción 24.59%4.07momio equitativo
EV +10.66%
Ventaja +2.37%
Kelly +3.04%
Crecimiento +0.324%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.05%24.39%24.90%26.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.863.854.5028.57%25.89%25.97%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Irina-Camelia Begu (Visitante)
Predicción 75.41%1.33momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -12.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.77%75.61%75.10%78.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.251.261.2883.33%79.86%79.37%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.66%E +2.37%K +3.04%G +0.324% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.75%E -7.23%K -41.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +10.66%E +2.37%K +3.04%G +0.324% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +4.51%E +1.06%K +1.39%G +0.063% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +4.51%E +1.06%K +1.39%G +0.063% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.820%E +0.200%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.820%E +0.200%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Pinnacle | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV +0.329%E +0.081%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 14:38 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-22 14:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.87%E -0.726%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.87%E -0.726%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.75%E -7.23%K -41.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 14:38 |
| BetAnything | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| LeoVegas | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| BetRivers | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Bally Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Coolbet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Bet Right | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| DraftKings | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 14:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| theScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -13.93%E -3.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-22 14:36 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| Novig | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94% | 4.0% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 14:40 |