A Escola das Odds

Venus Williams v Irina-Camelia Begu

Início: 2026-06-22 14:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Venus Williams (Local)

Previsão 24.59%4.07odd justa
EV +10.66%
Vantagem +2.37%
Kelly +3.04%
Crescimento +0.324%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.05%24.39%24.90%26.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.863.854.5028.57%25.89%25.97%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Irina-Camelia Begu (Visitante)

Previsão 75.41%1.33odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -2.72%
Kelly -12.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.77%75.61%75.10%78.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.251.261.2883.33%79.86%79.37%78.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +10.66%E +2.37%K +3.04%G +0.324%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.75%E -7.23%K -41.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 14:40
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +10.66%E +2.37%K +3.04%G +0.324%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 14:40
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +4.51%E +1.06%K +1.39%G +0.063%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 14:40
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +4.51%E +1.06%K +1.39%G +0.063%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 14:39
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.820%E +0.200%K +0.265%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 14:39
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.820%E +0.200%K +0.265%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 14:39
Pinnacle4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV +0.329%E +0.081%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 14:40
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:38
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.64%E -0.410%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.51%E -7.92%K -47.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 14:38
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.87%E -0.726%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 14:40
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.87%E -0.726%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -8.75%E -7.23%K -41.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 14:38
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 14:40
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:40
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 14:39
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 14:39
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:39
DraftKings3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 14:39
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 14:39
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 14:35
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 14:39
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.98%E -3.96%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 14:39
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 14:39
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.00%E -6.56%K -36.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-22 14:40
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 14:39
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.23%E -3.33%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 14:39
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:39
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 14:39
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.48%E -2.72%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 14:39
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:39
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.74%E -4.59%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 14:40
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -13.93%E -3.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.49%E -5.24%K -27.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-22 14:36
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94%4.0%2026-06-22 14:40
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%4.9%2026-06-22 14:40