A Escola das Odds

Naomi Osaka v Magdalena Frech

Início: 2026-06-21 15:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Naomi Osaka (Local)

Previsão 73.92%1.35odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -2.41%
Kelly -10.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.74%74.11%73.80%76.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.231.281.291.3181.30%78.29%77.52%76.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Magdalena Frech (Visitante)

Previsão 26.08%3.83odd justa
EV +4.31%
Vantagem +1.08%
Kelly +1.44%
Crescimento +0.062%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.81%25.89%26.20%28.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.613.604.0030.30%27.72%27.78%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.31%E +1.08%K +1.44%G +0.062%5.0%2026-06-21 14:09
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV +3.26%E +0.824%K +1.10%G +0.036%2.8%2026-06-21 14:09
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.70%E +0.436%K +0.586%G +0.010%3.8%2026-06-21 14:09
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.70%E +0.436%K +0.586%G +0.010%5.0%2026-06-21 14:58
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -1.17%E -0.309%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 14:09
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:58
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:49
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:58
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:57
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 14:09
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:58
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:09
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 15:00
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:09
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:09
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:08
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:58
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:49
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:49
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -9.07%E -7.38%K -39.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-21 14:58
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 14:49
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 14:09
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.95%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:56
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 14:09
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:30
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:56
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:09
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 14:59
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:09
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:09
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:59
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 14:09
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 14:09
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 14:55
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-21 14:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-21 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-21 15:00
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-06-21 15:00
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%2.6%2026-06-21 15:00
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%3.8%2026-06-21 14:59