Szkoła Kursów

Naomi Osaka v Magdalena Frech

Początek: 2026-06-21 15:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Naomi Osaka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 73.92%1.35kurs godziwy
EV -3.16%
Przewaga -2.41%
Kelly -10.19%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.31

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.74%74.11%73.80%76.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.231.281.291.3181.30%78.29%77.52%76.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Magdalena Frech (Goście)

Prognoza 26.08%3.83kurs godziwy
EV +4.31%
Przewaga +1.08%
Kelly +1.44%
Wzrost +0.062%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.81%25.89%26.20%28.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.613.604.0030.30%27.72%27.78%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.31%E +1.08%K +1.44%G +0.062%5.0%2026-06-21 14:09
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV +3.26%E +0.824%K +1.10%G +0.036%2.8%2026-06-21 14:09
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.70%E +0.436%K +0.586%G +0.010%3.8%2026-06-21 14:09
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.70%E +0.436%K +0.586%G +0.010%5.0%2026-06-21 14:58
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -1.17%E -0.309%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 14:09
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:58
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:49
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:58
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:57
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 14:09
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:58
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:09
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 15:00
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:59
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:09
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:09
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:08
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:58
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:49
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:49
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -9.07%E -7.38%K -39.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-21 14:58
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 14:49
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 14:09
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.95%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:56
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 14:09
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:30
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:56
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:09
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 14:59
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:09
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:09
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 14:59
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 14:09
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 14:09
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 14:55
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 14:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-21 14:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-21 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-21 15:00
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-06-21 15:00
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%2.6%2026-06-21 15:00
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%3.8%2026-06-21 14:59