Langue:Français
Naomi Osaka v Magdalena Frech
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Prévision 73.92%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -10.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%74.11%73.80%76.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.231.281.291.3181.30%78.29%77.52%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Magdalena Frech (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.08%3.83cote équitable
EV +4.31%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.44%
Croissance +0.062%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%25.89%26.20%28.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.613.604.0030.30%27.72%27.78%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Naomi Osaka (Local) : 73.92% ; Magdalena Frech (Visiteur) : 26.08%. Pour Magdalena Frech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.31%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.31%E +1.08%K +1.44%G +0.062% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV +3.26%E +0.824%K +1.10%G +0.036% | 2.8% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.70%E +0.436%K +0.586%G +0.010% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.70%E +0.436%K +0.586%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -1.17%E -0.309%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:57 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 14:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -9.07%E -7.38%K -39.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.95%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 14:56 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 14:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 14:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88% | 2.6% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |