La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Naomi Osaka v Magdalena Frech
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Predicción 73.92%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -2.41%
Kelly -10.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.74%74.11%73.80%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.231.281.291.3181.30%78.29%77.52%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Magdalena Frech (Visitante)
Predicción 26.08%3.83momio equitativo
EV +4.31%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.44%
Crecimiento +0.062%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.89%26.20%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.613.604.0030.30%27.72%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.31%E +1.08%K +1.44%G +0.062% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV +3.26%E +0.824%K +1.10%G +0.036% | 2.8% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.70%E +0.436%K +0.586%G +0.010% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.86%E -5.44%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.70%E +0.436%K +0.586%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -1.17%E -0.309%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.590%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:57 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.52%E -0.950%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Casumo | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| betPARX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 14:08 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -9.07%E -7.38%K -39.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.43%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -7.95%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 14:56 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 14:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 14:56 |
| theScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Fliff | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.60%E -6.08%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 14:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 14:55 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-21 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88% | 2.6% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |